Monday, September 30, 2024

Trump and Republicans are doing better with Hispanic voters than they have in decades.

 

Kamala Harris at a Hispanic outreach event. New York Post/Getty.

Donald Trump and the Republican Party are doing better with Hispanic voters than they have done in decades, and they could put Trump into the White House. New York Post. Democrats have won a majority of Hispanic votes since 2004, by at least 35 points. But that lead has been cut in recent elections. Joe Biden won only by 23 points, 60 to 37 points in 2020 and Harris is doing even worse if polling is accurate. Polls have Harris running 7 to 11 points less than Biden did among Hispanics, though she is still winning the group. Hispanics have many reasons to be upset with the Biden-Harris administration. A key factor is immigration, as many immigrants either travel through Hispanic areas or settle there and they bring crime and competition for jobs, which is reflected in Biden's approval rating among the group being at 39%. 

My Comment:

This is something that I can confirm personally. I work at a Hispanic majority workplace, despite not being Hispanic myself. And I can tell you that I know a few guys at work that are Hispanic and despise the Democrats. They aren't Trump supporters per se but they hate Joe Biden and Kamala Harris. And they are just as upset about illegal immigration as I am. Indeed, one of them had a FJB sticker on their Jeep before Biden dropped out of the race. 

And I think the article  is right about the reasons why. Most of these guys are either immigrants themselves or are 2nd generation American Citizens and aren't happy that these folks are being brought in to replace them. They do have to worry about crime and violence and also don't like having to compete with immigrants for housing and or jobs. 

Keep in mind that these folks aren't just competing with fellow Hispanics, they are competing with people across the world. Haitians are the latest group and I have heard more than a few disparaging remarks about them from my Hispanic coworkers. And it's not like all the various groups of Hispanics get along with each other at all times anyways. Mexicans are the majority of Hispanics and they do not always get along with the new waves of immigrants from Central and South America. 

But I think the article missed some of the reason why Democrats are bleeding support. I think much of it has to do with the fact that Hispanics tend to come from masculine "macho" cultures while the Democrats have gone fleeing from anything to do with masculinity. Indeed, the Democrats are pretty clearly the party for women, there's a reason the "childless cat lady" stereotype exists and I think it's turning off a lot of Hispanic men, just like it's turning of men of all races. 

Indeed, I think Kamala Harris is especially vulnerable as it would be an uphill battle to get Hispanics and men in general to accept female leadership. It's even worse that she went all in on a "boss girl" image that tends to remind folks of the chiding lectures they get from women like that. And it's not like Tim Walz is any better. For a guy that comes from the Midwest he strikes me as absurdly effeminate and not at all "macho". There isn't much here for Hispanics men to respect. Hispanic women might be a bit different but I also think they would be turned off by this as well. They are more into traditional gender roles that the "childless cat lady" demographic the Democrats are pandering to. 

Part of it too is Republicans warming up to Hispanics, with Mexicans especially being a favored group. Mexicans have a lot of traits that Republicans respect, like being hard working, reasonably religious and coming off as a lot better citizens as a lot of these illegal/semi-legal immigrants from countries like Venezuela, Afghanistan and Haiti. I don't think there are too many Republicans anymore that are out and out racist against Mexicans and all of us seem to realize that they could be extremely useful allies against both the Democrats and woke ideology in general. 

Hispanics aren't the only demographic that Republicans appear to be doing better with in 2024. Indeed, the article said the only group that Harris is doing better than Biden did was college educated whites (which baffles me since I'm in that group and can't stand Harris and I know she will not only do nothing for me but actively make things worse). Everyone else appears to not like Harris and she is losing support other key demographic groups, like African Americans, Jews and Asians. 

And, again, she's losing men in general. Harris being unlikeable to men is something that crosses over different cultures. The "brat girl summer", the chiding lectures, the lack of charisma and an effeminate weirdo as a VP pick have all hurt Harris among men. But men also respect competence and that has been extremely lacking in the Biden-Harris White  House. If Harris loses in 2024, which I think she will, it will be because she turned off men of all racial groups. 

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