Donald Trump confirms that he is under threat from Iran.

 

Iranians continue to venerate General Qassem Soleimani. USA Today/Reuters

Donald Trump and the US government have confirmed that there is an active assassination plot against the former President and other US officials. USA Today. Trump confirmed on social media about the threats made against his life by Iran. Though no evidence has yet emerged that Iran was involved in the two assassination attempts on Trump's life, it is believed that Iran would attempt to assassinate Trump if they can and are plotting to do so. Iran wants revenge for the killing of General Qassem Soleimani by the Trump Administration in January of 2020. Iran has denied any plots but they have been involved in a plot against former Ambassador and National Security Advisor John Bolton. It is unclear if the Trump briefing was a reiteration of old threats or if there is a new threat. 

A video posted in 2022 on an Iranian website has gone viral in the wake of the threat which shows an CG created dramatization of an assassination attempt on Donald Trump. 

This was posted on the Ayatollah’s website. I guess we should expect nothing less from a terrorist regime. My father had Iran almost bankrupt… then the Biden/Harris administration game them billions making the world a far more dangerous place. Enough! pic.twitter.com/THucg4ASID

— Donald Trump Jr. (@DonaldJTrumpJr) September 25, 2024

Donald Trump made comments about the threat on X and Truth Social. 

 

Big threats on my life by Iran. The entire U.S. Military is watching and waiting. Moves were already made by Iran that didn’t work out, but they will try again. Not a good situation for anyone. I am surrounded by more men, guns, and weapons than I have ever seen before. Thank you…

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 25, 2024

My Comment:

This is a very serious situation and one that I don't think has a precedent in American elections. If an attempt on Trump is made, even if it doesn't succeed, it could lead to a major war with Iran. And for once it would be totally justified. Trying to assassinate a former president during an election season is a casus belli for a war if I have ever heard one. 

The assassination of General Soleimani is cited as the reason why they are going after Trump. I think that is a major factor. Iran lost a ton of face when Soleimani was killed and he remains a folk hero in Iran. Having him get killed was both a huge blow to their military plans as he was not replaceable, it was hugely embarrassing. 

But I don't think that is the only reason why Iran wants Trump dead. They probably greatly prefer a Kamala Harris presidency. For one, she will be as weak as Biden was and is more inclined to be easy on Iran. Trump will obviously be tough in Iran as he was in his first term, including ending the much maligned Iran nuclear deal. And that was before they put a hit on him! 

How serious is the threat? I'd say fairly serious. Iran has sleeper agents in America, both their own forces and their Hezbollah proxies and even if they didn't our border is completely open and they could easily get some into the country. They have the means and motive, the real question is if they are going to get the opportunity. 

The good news is that the failed assassination attempts against Trump work against Iran. Certainly Iran will have a much more difficult time with any attempt now that security has been tightened dramatically. Had they been the first to try they might have succeeded, but now it will be a lot more difficult. 

What would happen if such an attack were to happen? Well, hopefully Trump would be ok, but even if he is there is a real chance of a war between the United States and Iran. I mean, there would have to be right? And I think it would be a certainty if Trump was injured or killed in an attack directed by Iran. I know I would be baying for blood. 

But that doesn't mean that an attack will happen. It's possible that Iran will back down from the attempt and it's also very possible that they simply can't pull it off. It's fairly difficult to launch an attack on a major presidential candidate like this and it certainly seems like Trump himself has nine lives, he's had three assassination attempts against him so far and they have all failed miserably. Security might be too tight now, at least that is my hope. 

As for Trump himself, he seems to be handling this well. He understands that his life is in danger but he isn't fundementally changing the way he does things. He's still out there shaking hands with people and giving speeches. It does make me wonder how Kamala Harris would act if the threat was against her, I doubt she would handle it as well. Indeed, here's Trump talking about the threat in a recent speech:

BREAKING: Trump- “No threat will shake me, no enemy will intimidate me, and I have never been more determined.” pic.twitter.com/FAkWAyGRw3

— Leading Report (@LeadingReport) September 25, 2024

Finally, I have to say that it is possible that Trump himself wouldn't be the target for this attack. John Bolton was mentioned as someone who has been targeted before and could be again, along with other former members of the Trump administration. JD Vance, high ranking politicians and even Trump's family could be at threat...