Joe Biden. Politico/AP.
Joe Biden is behind Donald Trump in many recent polls. Politico. Four recent national polls show Trump leading Biden and deep dissatisfaction with the incumbent. Biden's advanced age is a factor as most voters say that his age is a problem, with a plurality saying that he isn't capable of doing the job. Though Trump is also old, most voters say he is capable of being president. The economy is also a factor as most people in the polls say that the economy is bad, despite the White House pushing "Bidenomics" and high stock market numbers. Voters also say that the economy was better under Donald Trump, despite the economic effects of the pandemic. But it was the immigration crisis was cited the most problematic issue for Biden as most people see it as a crisis.
My Comment:
I generally agree with the reasons cited by Politico as to why Biden is doing so poorly in recent polling. Clearly his age is an issue as he's an 81 year old man that looks 110. And his mind is obviously gone, even compared to the start of his term, let alone his career as a Senator and VP. And I don't think he's going to survive the next five year if he is president or not.
And the economy is absolutely deadly for Biden. People don't care if some billionaire's hedge fund account is doing well. They know that they can't afford to the grocery store without breaking the bank and even McDonalds is getting to the point where people can't really afford it anymore. Inflation is an absolute killer when there isn't a corresponding increase of wages. And people know that things were better under Donald Trump.
People also remember that illegal immigration was, if not a solved issue, dramatically better under Trump. Border crossings were dramatically down compared to now. Biden removed the executive orders that were dealing with the problem and stopped construction of the border wall. Though he has tried to blame Republicans for not accepting his border bill which would only make the problem worse, it's clear that he's going to get the blame.
But I think there are other issues as well. Ukraine is a big one since it's clear that our military adventure there will go as well as the one in Afghanistan, which Biden also lost. Biden has also put Ukraine in front of pretty much other issue in America, with immigration only being the most obvious example. Nothing is being done on our border but we are sending billions to Ukraine so they can attempt to defend their border.
Of course the war in Gaza is upsetting people as well. Biden is trying to play both sides of the conflict and neither side is happy with that. His far left supporters hate Israel and hate that he is supporting them, while everyone else is upset that he is giving the anti-Israel people the time of day. To be fair, there is no pleasing everyone but it's an issue that might cause a lot of Democrats to stay home in 2024.
Polls aren't everything of course and a lot can happen between now and November. And there is still the elephant in the room that is election security. But it seems clear that Donald Trump should beat Joe Biden in the 2024 election...
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