Donald Trump has won the New Hampshire primary over the last remaining primary opponent, Nikki Haley. Fox News. The New Hampshire race was called shortly after the polls closed, though Trump's margin of victory is in the single digits as of this writing. Joe Biden also won the primary race despite his name not being on the ballot due to New Hampshire refusing to move their primary date. New Hampshire has an open primary with Democrats and Independents allowed to vote in Republican races. Nikki Haley has not dropped out and is going all in on her home state of South Carolina, ignoring the Nevada Caucuses due to not being competitive there. Trump blasted Haley for acting like she won a victory despite losing the state.
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My Comment:
It's unclear just how big Donald Trump's victory will be tonight. It's very possible that Trump's win will be a double digit victory. Indeed, with 45% of the vote counted Trump has a 10 point lead, but that could change as the night goes on as the margin of victory keeps changing.
Regardless, this shows the weakness of Nikki Haley and the strength of Donald Trump. Haley supposedly had all the advantages in New Hampshire. Ron DeSantis, her primary opposition, dropped out. Democrats and Independents were allowed to vote. Joe Biden was not in a comparative race and his name was not even on the ballot due to the DNC punishing the state for not moving their primaries around. Even with all of those advantages, not only was Haley not able to win, it looks like the race isn't even close.
I personally think that Haley should drop out after this. If she had won the state or lost by a razor thin margin it might make sense to continue but with a major loss like this she doesn't really have a reason to keep going.
And it's not like the next two states are going to go well for her. She's not even trying to play for Nevada as that is Trump country for the primary race (and possibly for the 2024 general). That alone is a very bad sign, so she is putting all of her remaining efforts into South Carolina, which happens to be her home state. According to 538, Trump's got 62% support in Haley's state, with Haley only getting 25% of the vote.
If Nikki Haley was smart she would drop out now. Not doing so risks the humiliation of losing in her home state by a huge margin and getting totally embarrassed. And it's a pretty safe bet that Trump will win in South Carolina and once that happens I can't see Haley winning. Trump will have a large delegate lead and I can't see Haley catching up.
The only thing I can think of is that Haley expects some kind of huge news that would knock Trump out of the race or, and I hesitate to even write this, she expects something to happen to Donald Trump. I can't think of any other reason for her to still be in the race. Unless she is really just that determined to destroy her political career.
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