The 2nd Republican debate is tomorrow night at 7 pm central time on CNN. I plan on watching it and you can follow me on twitter as I plan on live tweeting my reactions. I hope to have a post up before the night is through but no promises. I intend to write a reaction for all the candidates and that tends to take a bit of time. I might post what I have anyways just so I have something up early, and update it later. If something totally crazy happens tomorrow, like world war 3 or a second 9/11 I'll cover that instead but otherwise I should have something up about the debate.
As far as the debate goes I have a little advice for the candidates that aren't Donald Trump (who I am sure are reading this!). First, don't spend time attacking him. Attack Clinton, Obama, Sanders, even your other candidates. Just don't attack him. Doing so will sap your popularity and also increase his. His whole argument is that he is an outsider who the insiders hate so being an insider throwing hate at him will just make him even more popular. Also, don't try to out-Trump Trump. Scott Walker did this by saying he was going to build a wall in Canada and it made him look stupid. Just put your positions out there and leave Trump alone.
Now for some predictions.
-Donald Trump will "win" the debate. 100%.
By win I don't mean he will have the best arguments or ideas. By win I mean he will dominate the debate, have the most speaking time and have all the best water cooler talk the next day. Blindingly obvious I know but worth saying.
-Someone in the media will deliberately misrepresent what one or all of the candidates said in the debate. 100%
Because of course they will!
-Rand Paul and Chris Christie will get into it again. 80%
Perhaps about the NSA perhaps about something else. But these two guys hate each other and can't stand to be in the same room with each other. Expect fireworks.
-If Paul and Christie get into again it will hurt their campaigns. 90% if it happens
Last time it hurt both of them and made each of them look un-presidential and "mean". Only Trump can be mean in this debate.
-Nobody from the "kiddie table" debate will make any waves. 95%
Carly Fiorina was a fluke last time. None of the candidates in the pre-debate debate should even be in the race at this point and I can't see anything helping them out.
-At least one candidate will drop out right after the debate. 80%
This almost has to happen right? There are a ton of candidates polling under 5%. All it would take to eliminate one of the lower tier candidates is a poor debate performance. Sooner or later people like Bobby Jindal and Lindsay Graham will drop out and I am guessing that it will happen sooner and not later.
-Jeb Bush and Scott Walker will take another hit in the polls. 75%
Just a hunch here. Bush is so establishment that everyone seems to hate him and Walker is going to get hit hard with his comments on unions.
-The moderators will probably be biased. 75%
I think the Fox News guys did a decent job, but they still got hit with accusations of being biased. That was friendly territory while CNN is in the belly of the beast. Expect them to hit everyone hard and for there to be no softball questions... except possibly to Jeb Bush since he is the establishment and CNN is always in favor of the establishment.
-Gun Rights will make a larger impression in this debate then in the last one. 60%
Huge issue and the Democrats have been doubling down on gun control. The fact that it didn't come up last time was shocking. Hopefully this will be what brings down Chris Christie when it comes up.
-Immigration will come up, but won't dominate the debate. 55%
I expect a few fireworks here but I don't expect it will be the whole debate.
-Someone will try to out-Trump Trump. 75%
My guess is Scott Walker.
-Ben Carson and Mike Huckabee will fight over who the bigger evangelical is. 80%
This is the major issue for both of these candidates and the both need to paint themselves as the Christian candidate. Expect a lot of talk about gay marriage and/or abortion. From everyone, but these two won't shut up about it.
-There will be more attacks on the Democrats this time around. 65%
Just a hunch.
-Something crazy, like a mass shooting or terrorist attack will happen at the debate. .0001%
Just recognizing the possibility!
No matter what though it should be entertaining!
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