Friday, July 18, 2014

The Ukrainian Civil war has gone international. -War is Boring

When you destroy civilian aircraft, the world takes notice. -War is Boring With anger (also reported on here for the U.S. government response) the world reacts to the downing of Flight 17. Evidence that the rebels most likely fired the shot will have consequences. The world reacted harshly the the destruction of KAL 007 by the Soviet Union, Avianca 203 by Pablo Escobar and Iran Air 655 by the United States, so there is more then enough precedence.

My Comment:
Huge mistake is an understatement. Should the Rebels turn out to the be guilty party, and all evidence at this point implies they will, then all hell will come down on them. Putin will face enormous pressure to force a cease fire and cut off support for the rebels. Whatever sympathy the world had for the Rebels has evaporated completely. I myself had a bit of sympathy for them but it's gone now, with the caveat that I think it's still too early to blame anyone without a more meaningful investigation.

To recap, if you were the rebels right now, your only ally is probably going to abandon you, the world hates you, and the best case scenario is that you surrender. It's about the worst mistake they could have made. And I still think it was a complete accident. Of course Hanlon's razor is in full effect here. Incompetence this bad may as well be malice.

As much as I like War is Boring, and I do highly recommend it, they missed the most obvious example of the destruction of civilian airplanes. 9/11. It completely changed the world resulting in at a global war. And it's easy to forget for a time it made America into a country that could do no wrong in the eyes of the world. Iraq changed that but it was true for awhile. Maybe it was just too obvious?

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