Joe Biden. BBC/Reuters.
Joe Biden has vowed "ironclad" support of Israel as rumors of a strike coming from Iran continue. BBC. Biden said that Iran is threatening to launch a significant attack against Israel after the country attacked an Iranian embassy in Syria. Iran has said that the attack on the embassy will be treated like an attack on the country itself. Biden appears to be talking out of both sides of his mouth with the comments as he has also criticized Israel's conduct in the Gaza war and has called for a cease fire. Biden has also been trying to use backchannel diplomacy to try and get Iran to back down from attack plans.
My Comment:
Once again, Biden has chosen the wrong side of every issue. Biden has been extremely critical of Israel's conduct in Gaza, which is not something I have a problem with at all, Hamas deserves whatever it gets and more. But he is not criticizing Israel's attack on a foreign embassy? How does that make sense? How does any of this make sense?
Worse, Biden is committing us to a war against Iran that nobody wants. If Israel is attacked than Biden has said we would help them. That's pretty insane since Israel is the one that started the problem by attacking an embassy in the first place. Usually when a war of choice is started the allies are not obligated to join it.
To be fair, we would probably be drawn into the war anyways. Iran is likely to attack US forces in Syria and Iraq as well. They have proven that they can do so in the past and would likely do so in the future. They won't want the threat that US bases would cause to their operations in Syria and Iraq and would want their supply lines protected. And they would probably assume that America would be joining the war anyways.
The war could happen at any time now. Today is the last day of Ramadan and Iran might want to launch an attack afterwards. I would expect large missile strikes from Iran itself targeting both Israel and US targets in Iraq and Syria. I would also expect direct attacks from Iranian proxies, special forces and allies like Hezbollah and the Houthis. I am not expecting any kind of weapons of mass destruction, but we could see a major conventional attack with possible terrorism involved as well.
I do think if America does get involved in a war with Iran it would be extremely unpopular. Most people on the left seem like they would support Iran over Israel, even if they did attack US forces in Iraq and Syria. And the right is just sick and tired of war and aren't likely to support yet another war in the Middle East. And that's assuming the war goes well, there is a decent chance that we take serious casualties. Given the performance of our intelligence agencies I would not be surprised if any attack ends up catching them by their pants down.
Of course, there is a chance that nothing will happen. If that's the case I think it will be more to do with Iran not wanting a major fight right now over Biden's backchannel diplomacy. Though I admit that it takes time to prepare a major attack, you would have thought that they would have hit Israel by now. But honestly, I think it is very possible that a war is on its way.
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