Thursday, May 19, 2022

Joe Biden's Hispanic approval rating has cratered according to a new poll.

 

Joe Biden. Fox News/AP. 

Joe Biden's approval rating among Hispanic Americans has cratered in a new poll from Quinnipiac. Fox News. Biden only reached 26% approval in the poll, which is major drop from 55% approval in the same poll one year ago. Young Americans and White males also had Biden approval very low with 27% and 29% respectively. Biden's best numbers were among Americans over the age of 65 (45%) and Blacks (63%). Black Americans were the only group that Biden is not underwater with. Biden's overall approval rating was a tepid 35% with 57% disapproving of the job Biden is doing.

The Quinnipiac poll can be found here. 

My Comment:

Though I am not Hispanic myself I do work with many of them and I have heard them talking about Biden, either directly or indirectly. They never seemed to have strong opinions on other candidates but now it's all about how terrible Biden is doing and how bad things are going. This is a huge difference between how things used to be where I never heard much political discussion going on regardless. 

I do think that this poll is probably an outlier. I find it hard to believe that Biden's approval is lower among Hispanics than it is among white males or the young. I do think that the phenomenon is real but is the situation this bad for Biden? I guess it's possible but I want to see more polls to confirm it. 

Why would Biden's poll numbers among Hispanics be cratering? I think the most obvious reasons is the main reason everyone hates Biden right now. It's the economy. Hispanics have to get gas, buy groceries and rent/buy homes just like everyone else and they know that things have gone haywire. When gas is $4.25 and rising it doesn't matter too much what your race is. 

I think another major reason is that the Democrats have doubled down on social justice issues. Hispanics tend to be more conservative on social issues and more liberal on economic issues and right now the Democrats are focusing on the first while ignoring the later. Abortion is a good example of this, it's not popular among Catholics and many Hispanics agree that it's a bad thing. Many of them don't believe in abortion and aren't comfortable with the way pro-life people are being treated by the Democrats and Biden in particular. 

Hispanics seem to be largely immune to woke nonsense, at least the blue collar ones that I work with. They want nothing to do with transgender grooming or blaming every single thing on race. There are some woke Hispanics but they appear to be the minority. 

Immigration is another issue that I think is a factor here. A surprising number of Hispanics do agree that illegal immigration is a huge problem, but the general perception is that immigration is a major issue for Hispanics. However, immigration is not in the national narrative right now, which means that Biden doesn't get the advantage from the issue. 

This is really bad news for the Democrats in 2022 if the trend holds. If Republicans were to peel off every single Hispanic voter that disapproves of Joe Biden they would be pretty much totally wiped out. If the Republicans simply turn a few voters away from the Democrats they will lose and lose hard. And if this is long term trend, the Democrats will have a hard time winning elections in general unless they change course and do it soon. 

Time will tell if this is a long term trend or if just an effect of Joe Biden being a uniquely bad president. Biden is a Jimmy Carter type president with an added problem of senility and general abrasiveness. Hispanics don't like him because nobody does outside of the media and Washington bubbles. It's possible that many of these Hispanics will go back to the Democrats once Biden is gone, but that won't happen for a while now. 

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