Once again, it's time for another debate predictions post! Like all the rest of the debates I plan to live tweet it. The format has been cut to two hours for the main debate so there is a small chance that their will be a reactions post right afterwards. If not though, expect one sometime the next day.
I may watch the pre-debate debate with the lower rated candidates, but don't expect reactions to be posted on those guys. At this point I think they should all drop out of the race. For the main debate, I think it might be a little better now that at least one guy has dropped out. Scott Walker didn't contribute much during the first two debates but with him out of the race the other candidates should have more time to talk. Still, with the debate only being 2 hours, it may be hard to have everyone get their fair share of speaking time.
I'm also not so sure about the moderation on this one. Unlike Fox News and CNN, I don't know anything about CNBC, so I have no idea how biased or competent the moderators will be. I very occasionally watch Fox News or CNN, but I have never watched CNBC. It could go either way.
Now for some predictions:
-Donald Trump will get a boost in the polls from the debate. 80% His numbers have been sagging a bit and Ben Carson has been nipping at his heels, even passing him in a few polls. I think that is because he hasn't been in the news as much. Having a good debate performance will help him get back the spotlight.
-Ben Carson is going to get hit hard in this debate. 80%. He's pretty close to a new front runner and I think the lower tier candidates will hit him. I'm not sure if Trump will since they seem to have had a good relationship, but his rise in the polls mean that he will be attacked.
-Gun Rights will come up this time. 99%. It has to right? Half the Democratic debate was about how they were going to take our guns. Republicans have to hit back hard. I have been utterly shocked at how little the issue has come up during the previous debates.
-Someone will finally attack Chris Christie for his support of gun control. 75% This would be a great way to try and knock him out of the race. Having him try to defend his gun rights record on a national stage would hurt him and hurt him hard.
-Someone major will drop out after the debate. 99% It happened twice in the Democratic debate. Both Webb and Chaffe are gone now. Sooner or later the Republican field has to narrow.
-That candidate will be Jeb Bush 25%. His campaign is faltering and I think even he knows that he doesn't have much of a chance of winning. Unless he has an amazing debate performance I think he is done.
-Trump will hit Jeb Bush hard in an effort to deal a killing blow to his campaign. 100%
-Hillary Clinton will be a major target as well. She's the Democratic candidate at this point. 75%
-Carly Fiorina will get another boost in the polls, but will then fall back down again after a week or two. She's great at debates but terrible at keeping peoples attention focused on her. 60%
-Rand Paul will finally get a clue and not focus on fighting the other candidates, especially Donald Trump. He will instead focus on policy. 25%
-The debate will be much more entertaining then the Democratic one. 100%
-The debate will be a ratings coup for CNBC. 100%
-Out of all the "establishment" candidates, Marco Rubio will be the "winner", but not the overall winner. He will have the best performance out of the non-Trump candidates. 75%
-Foreign policy will be a large focus of the debate, at least in comparison to the Democratic debate. 75%
And a few questions I want asked:
Donald Trump, what is your stance on the NSA?
Ben Carson, you stabbed a guy? Isn't that kind of crazy? If some world leader makes you angry, will you stab them? If so, wouldn't that make you an awesome president?
For all the candidates, why on earth aren't you talking more about gun rights? And for Chris Christie, don't you have way more in common with the Democrats on this issue then anyone else at this debate?
For Carly Fiorina, in the last debate you said that you wouldn't talk to Vladimir Putin. If that is the case what happens if there is some kind of international incident where a war with Russia could only be averted by talking to him? Isn't that just taking a huge and stupid risk?
For all the candidates, Russia appears to be taking over in Syria. Many of you have a problem with that. Why should we even care?
For all the candidates, isn't focusing on abortion going to hurt you in the long run? Like gun rights, in an issue you can't really do anything about. Isn't all this talk about the issue just a bunch of sound and fury that will accomplish nothing in the long term? I mean, Roe vs Wade isn't going away anytime soon right?
For all the candidates besides Donald Trump, will you support Donald Trump if he is the Republican candidate? If not, why do you want Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders to win the election?
Speaking of Bernie Sanders, why is it ok for the Democrats to have a Socialist running for president?
For all the candidates, political correctness is running rampant. If you are elected how will you help defend the spirit of the 1st amendment? Isn't there something wrong with corporations like facebook and twitter clamping down on free speech pretty much just as bad as the government doing the same thing?
Rand Paul, why have you spent the last two debates just attacking Donald Trump instead of actually giving America a reason to vote for you?
For all the candidates, what do you think of the European immigration crisis? How do we keep it from happening here? What do you think of Obama's plan to bring Syrians to America?
Finally, I'll be live tweeting the debate here. I should be starting around 6 pm central. I doubt I will have a post up with my reactions, but anything is possible!
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