Tuesday, September 30, 2014

Liberian society is starting to collapse due to Ebola. Yahoo/AFP

One of the crematoriums where Ebola victims burned in Liberia. Yahoo/AFP

Experts are warning that Liberian society is starting to collapse due to the Ebola virus. Yahoo/AFP. There are fears of conflict and perhaps even war. Tensions are incredibly high in the capital, Monrovia, and even something as simple as removing a body has resulted in near-riots. Government institutions, including police and the military are ceasing to function due to the high number of infected. The health system has had the most problems with many key doctors and nurses sickened or killed. The countries top doctor is currently under quarantine after her deputy died and many hospitals are closed completely. Schools have been closed for months now and the economy is in shambles. Food is starting to become a problem as well.

My Comment:
I've been saying that Liberia was essentially doomed for weeks now. I've said many times that I thought this was the way it was going to play out this way. Starvation, conflict and complete economic collapse is pretty much inevitable at this point, and this article is confirmation that what I was saying. I sure didn't want to be right though. 

At this point I think Liberia is past the point of no return. If tensions are as high as the article claimed then it's only a matter of time before a western aid group or the U.S. military either gets attacked or realize that the security situation is more dangerous then Ebola. When that happens they will withdraw and the disease would spread unchecked. The people there are scared, hate and distrust their government and foreigners and soon they will be hungry too. That's a recipe for disaster for foreign aid groups, especially since many blame the west and "white people" for Ebola. And those aid groups are the only people that could conceivably make a dent in the outbreak. And even if they manage to persevere, there is a good chance that the disease will win anyways. The situation is that bad in Liberia right now. 

As for Sierra Leone and Guinea, it's still unclear. The disease is out of control in Sierra Leone but it isn't quite as bad as Liberia is. Their government, in my perception at least, has been far more proactive in fighting the disease then Liberia has. If they keep their quarantines up and get a lot of outside help then they might make it. If they don't they will go the same way as Liberia. Guinea is much the same but their chances are even better. Even though the outbreak started there it has never been as severe as the other two countries. They have the best chances out of anybody.  

Of course if Liberia does fall tens of thousands of people will flee the country and many of them will have the disease. I don't know how you stop that short of shooting everyone that tries to cross the border and even then people will slip through. The whole situation is terrible. 

No comments:

Post a Comment