The Evancho family quoted in the article. NPR.
Population growth has flatlined in many countries today, which will lead to economic problems down the line. NPR. Since the 1970's the average size of a family has decreased by half, with the effect especially profound in Western developed countries. In 70% of the 15th most wealthy countries, the fertility rate is not at replacement, meaning more people are dying than being born. The birth rate in the United States is 1.6, well short of the 2.1 needed to grow the population. The lack of new people will make filling jobs more difficult and paying for senior citizens almost impossible. The situation is even worse in East Asia as China, Japan and South Korea are facing demographic collapse. Some countries are moving to fix the demographic problems by incentivizing births, but those programs are often ineffective.
My Comment:
This is one of humanity's biggest problem. The most valuable and capable people on earth are refusing to have kids, for the most part. Or, failing that, they have one or two at most. This is how Idiocracy started and it's a real problem, despite the fact that the movie was supposed to be a parody.
There has been a lot of propaganda about having a large family being "selfish" and I think that argument is stupid. Having kids is pretty much the whole point, but the problem of overpopulation is mostly a foreign problem. Yes, the 1.5 billion people in India are causing environmental problem, but having three kids instead of two in the United States isn't going to change that at all.
The fact is that most of our government services have been created with the idea that the population would continue to grow. Things like social security and Medicare need a population of young workers that can pay into the system and if those young people don't exist the whole thing will fall apart, to the point where the systems will likely collapse.
So why is this happening and how do we fix it? Well, for one, the economy isn't doing as well as it should be. Folks have jobs but those jobs don't pay enough to pay for kids. Much of it is due to the insane cost of childcare, which often means that the wife pays for childcare with her salary and the husband pays for everything else. Kids aren't quite expensive as they seem and a lot of the costs are optional (like getting them the newest gadgets or enrolling them in every sport), but they are a major cost. It's not like in the third world or historically where kids could be put to work and be put in charge of younger kids, which can offset the costs they produce.
Costs are part of the issue, but the absolutely broken state of dating in the west is crucial as well. Online dating and the lack of "third places" (the other two being home and work) has done a number on anyone in their 30's, 20's or even their 40's, to the point where it's extremely hard to find someone to have kids with in the first place. Modern internet dating is a humiliating process for both men and women and everyone is at the mercy of an algorithm that cares more about extracting money from people than actually getting them together.
MeToo is also a huge problem as it completely torpedoed male-female relations. Men are legitimately afraid of women now, at least the ones that actually care about what women think. Actual abusers don't care at all, but most men I have spoken too are so afraid of being falsely accused that they won't participate in dating anymore (though at my age, most of them have gotten married years ago, like the last guys getting on the chopper out of Vietnam). These fears are probably overblown but it's very clear that MeToo did a lot of damage.
And not just to men. Women too have been sold a bill of goods and it's damaged relations on that end too. Women now greatly overestimate the number of actual abusers and are more likely to take men's actions in the worst possible way. Their view of the world is false, most sexual abusers are easily avoidable and most women have little to fear from a man who is just asking them out on a date, though, to be fair, the risk is never zero.
Another factor I think is the breakdown of extended families. When folks all lived in villages together there was never a shortage of grandparents, aunts, uncles and cousins to take care of the kids and help out new parents with whatever issues they have. But today? Grandma and Grandpa are in another city, if they are even still alive because folks are having kids late, folks already don't have brothers and sisters and there just isn't anyone else to help. Given how folks have to move now to find jobs, there just isn't the support network there anymore.
So how do we fix this? I know there are government programs, like the Trump accounts here in the United States, but I don't think that solves the fundamental problems we see above. There might be a few edge cases where it could help, but how does a government program fix dating? Or fix the modern family? I just don't think it will have enough of an effect.
But something has to be done because if it isn't Western governments will continue to try to solve the problem with the same thing they have been doing, allowing in a massive number of immigrants. Some immigration could be useful, if it was high skilled people from other western countries, but I fear it will be those 1.5 billion Indians that will be used instead. Given how absolutely ruined India is as a country, it won't bode well for the United States or any country that chooses that option.