Sunday, September 24, 2023

New ABC/Washington Post poll shows Donald Trump beating Joe Biden 51 to 42.

 

ABC News/Washington Post.

A new ABC News/Washington Post poll shows Donald Trump beating Joe Biden 51 to 42. ABC News. Biden's approval is 19 points under water and his approval ratings on major topics like the economy, immigration and would even blame Biden on a potential government shutdown coming from Congress. Trump's approval rating is also under water but at a 48 to 49% split, essentially tied and a major improvement since he left the White House. Trump also has 51% support in the primary race while only 33% of Joe Biden's voters support him with 62% wanting someone else. The Economy seems to be a major factor with Biden only get 25% approval on the question. 

ABC News/Washington Post.




My Comment:
This poll is a bit of an outlier with most polls showing Biden and Trump essentially tied. But there is reason to think that this one is closer to the truth than those are. There are a few polls that have Trump up a few points but not this many. So the question is how accurate it is.

My guess is that it is fairly spot on. Everyone is sick of Joe Biden and his presidency and a lot of people just want someone different. If that person is Donald Trump then so be it. Even people that hate Trump are starting to come around to the fact that they were better under him then they are under Biden. People are willing to overlook a lot when the other guy is failing this badly. 

The economy is a huge part of this as you can see from that 2nd image that Biden is getting wrecked on it. Which is funny since he is essentially running on the economy, which is just bizarre. You would think that Biden would try to run on absolutely anything else but he's been touting "Bidenomics" for months now, asking people to trust him and not their lying eyes. 

People know that they are spending way more money on things. Inflation less worse than it was but that only means the rate is slower, not that prices are going down. Food prices and gasoline especially are out of control and aren't counted in the inflation rate but they are things that are just killing people now. People can't even afford McDonalds these days, let alone going grocery shopping. Prices are up across the board, and with the sole exception of eggs, they aren't gong down. 

Rent and housing are also up and are a direct consequence of Biden's other major failure, the border crisis. With millions of people crossing the border since Biden's term started people are noticing that they can't afford housing anymore, due to the massive increase of demand. And people know that this is all by design by Biden. He wants rent high and wages low because it primarily hurts people that aren't voting for him. People know he's acting out of spite and are sick of it. 

What is dangerous is that the Democrats may decide that Joe Biden is dead weight and may dump him for someone else. It's not going to be RFK Jr or Marianne Williamson, the two supposed competitors for the White House race in 2024, neither of them would be approved by the party. But there are a few other viable candidates, most notable California Governor Gavin Newsome, that could replace Biden if he would only drop out. 

But Biden doesn't seem like he is willing to do so and unless he changes his mind or something terrible happens, he will likely be the candidate in 2024. And it's even more likely that Donald Trump will be the candidate in 2024 for the GOP. People that want new blood appear to be out of luck.

If that is the outcome and this poll is even remotely accurate then Trump should win in a landslide. And I don't see how Biden could possibly turn it around. Despite that he does not at all seem concerned that he's going to lose. My guess is that he knows that the voter fraud that put him in office in the first place is still around. But perhaps he shouldn't be so confident, after all there is only so much voter fraud that people will accept. 

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